NIPT is a screening tool. A high-risk result is the beginning of a conversation, not a final answer.
| Clinical Scenario | Estimated PPV | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| General population · No ultrasound findings | ~18–19% | Roughly 4 in 5 results are false positives |
| Updated algorithm / specific platforms | ~40–53% | About half of positive results are confirmed |
| Ultrasound anomalies present | 50–75% | Higher likelihood when structural findings coexist |
Important: Pregnancy decisions must never be based on NIPT alone. Confirmatory testing with chromosomal microarray (CMA) is required.
A false positive does not mean the test was wrong — it means confirmatory testing is essential before drawing conclusions.
No irreversible pregnancy decisions should be made based on this screening result alone. Diagnostic confirmation is essential first.